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The boss of Asos has insisted that the “medicinal” actions it has taken over the past two years are finally beginning to soothe its ailments and help boost profitability in the coming year.
The online fashion retailer for “twenty-something” shoppers struck an upbeat tone on Tuesday as it announced that it had slashed inventory levels in half since 2022 and sold more full-price goods, as part of its strategy to boost profitability.
Asos said it expected further margin improvement to drive 60 per cent growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (Ebitda) to between £130 million to £150 million in the new financial year.
Shares in the business still fell 6.9 per cent to 350p, however, as the strategic actions it took weighed on its latest income statement.
The London-listed company reported ebitda – its preferred measure of profitability – of £80.1 million in the year to the beginning of September, down from £124.5 million the year before.
Losses before tax widened to £379.3 million during the year, compared to a loss of £296.7 million last year, owing to a £100 million write-off in old, unwanted stock and a £141.8 million write-down on the closure of its Lichfield warehouse, which was announced last November.
Group full-year revenue declined by 16 per cent on a like-for-like basis to £2.9 billion, in line with guidance given in its September trading update, as it focused on driving full-price sales and discounted less.
Despite this, José Antonio Ramos Calamonte, chief executive of Asos, said the business achieved its “key priorities” during the period, which also included having stricter criteria on returns and more disciplined marketing.
“The medicine we have taken – reducing our intake, discounting to clear old stock, and rigorously revising our operations – while necessary, has not made for attractive financial results over the last two years,” he said. “However, we are confident now have the right team, processes and business resilience on which to drive sustainable, profitable growth.”
He added: “We have already seen the green shoots in the performance of our new stock in the recent months, which give us confidence that our new commercial model is delivering customers the right products at the right time.”
Calamonte laid out a turnaround plan for Asos in October 2022 after it witnessed a slowdown in demand following the online pandemic boom. It also suffered amid increased competition from the likes of Shein, the Chinese-founded fast-fashion group, and second-hand competitors such as Vinted and Depop.
A former stock market darling, Asos was briefly valued at over £6 billion in 2018 — more than rivals Marks & Spencer and Next. But the shares have since fallen by more than 95 per cent. Shares in Next have risen by 108 per cent over the same period.
At the beginning of Asos’ turnaround plan, its stock levels had more than doubled to over £1 billion, largely owing to Covid-related disruption and poor commercial practices which led to the build up of old and aged stock.
Over the last two years, Asos has reduced stock levels by around 50 per cent to £520 million and around 80 per cent of its current fashion stockholding is now in product that has been on the website for less than six months.
Asos had already written off more than £100 million of stock in 2022. A large proportion is understood to have been sold on internally, via its sample sale website. Calamonte said the company had “not shipped [that stock] to be burned. We don’t do that or send it to landfill.”
Asos said that, as a result of stock reduction, its sales of “newness” had increased by 24 per cent year-on-year over the last three months. Average basket value is up 2 per cent to £41.07 for the full-year. However, active customer numbers were down by 16 per cent, largely owing to reduced marketing and discounting.
Calamonte shrugged off concerns about fast-fashion and second-hand rivals such as Shein and Vinted stealing spend and market share. “The market leaders have [between 4 and 6 per cent] market share, which means that there is enough space for everybody provided you do a good job. So, we are not worried about Vinted or about anyone else out there. We are worried about ourselves.”
Asos, which counts Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group as a shareholder, said it was feeling confident about the all-important Christmas trading period and the year ahead, despite operating in a “volatile” market.
It said it would continue to focus on profitability, instead of revenue growth in the year ahead, as that would “not be in the long-term interests of the business”.
Asos’ chief financial officer, Dave Murray, said tax hikes announced in last week’s Budget would not change its full-year guidance.
“We are going to see a small increase in our cost base, but we will manage that within just the realm of having the progress to [the 2025 financial year,” he said. “It is a sum, but it’s not a significant sum.”
In September Asos offloaded a 75 per cent stake in Topshop to a group controlled by Anders Povlsen, the billionaire who is Asos’s biggest shareholder, and announced a £250 million bond refinancing to help to strengthen its balance sheet.
Asos said the Topshop deal would have £10 million to £20 million negative adjusted ebitda “impact” in its first year of operation, but would be “increasingly ebitda accretive over time.”
It expects cash flow to be broadly neutral, with capex of around £130 million and cash interest of £35 million. The company reported free cash inflow of £37.7 million in the current financial year, a £250.7 million improvement year-on-year.
Peel Hunt said the company had “succeeded in clearing stock, securing the balance sheet and moving the business onto an even keel. The strategy now is product-led recovery, as Asos seeks to drive frequency, active [customers] and ultimately revenue.”
Shore Capital, the broker, upgraded its rating from “sell” to “hold”, following “balance sheet actions which provide near-term liquidity and the improved profit outlook”. It said that “as the group focuses on more profitable sales, we start to see the impacts of this strategy emerge, with average basket value up 2 per cent.”
Asos mulls store opening
Asos’s chief executive has said he would not rule out opening standalone shops if it “made the business model stronger”.
The Times understands that the online fashion retailer has been mulling a London-based Asos store, which could house a large number of its brands.
José Antonio Ramos Calamonte, chief executive, said opening an Asos store was an “option”, adding that the company is “always flexible and we are always open to anything that makes our business model stronger. If having one store could make our business model stronger, we would consider it.”
Asos opened its first “pop-up”, temporary store last year in Rathbone Place in London.
Calamonte said he recognised that having a physical store presence has the ability to “create better connections with our consumers”, adding “there are no sacred cows” in how the brand reaches customers.
However, he said Asos would be unlikely to expand into brick-and-mortar as a major business line: “We are not thinking about changing our business model and becoming an omnichannel retailer by no means.”
The company revealed earlier this year that it has plans to boost Topshop’s presence, which could involve physical retail space through its new joint venture with Bestseller, a fashion group controlled by Asos shareholder Anders Povlsen.
Calamonte said: “Obviously with the agreement of our partner in a joint venture, we will not ignore any option to grow, and if that option in the future might include physical presence, it’s certainly not discarded by no means.”